My Tweets

mtobis
mt
Michael Tobis PhD., computational climatology. Enthusiast of plant-based tacos. Python and also Python. Interested in informed discourse under controversy.

Change User

  • @pmmcc @ryankatzrosene @JasonChow @saraannhart https://t.co/J4Wej6VaOL Tue Jun 18
  • @pmmcc @ryankatzrosene @JasonChow @saraannhart https://t.co/0NZ5dN6kpG The hero, a perpetual student, is lost and… https://t.co/wEh8KbUOIf Tue Jun 18
  • @thomaswfuller You didn't understand what I was saying the last time I made this point either, as I recall. Tue Jun 18
  • @pmmcc @ryankatzrosene @JasonChow @saraannhart There's a nice little movie that ends this way, but if I told you wh… https://t.co/ui88jFnQk3 Tue Jun 18
  • @EC_Kosters My point exactly. My point is, they posture as adults, but they act as unsupervised and ill-mannered c… https://t.co/ZWYUzFrZx2 Tue Jun 18
  • Look, how about if the police just ask "Is there some reason you cannot immediately comply with my instructions?" b… https://t.co/qijOzo62UI Tue Jun 18
  • @Sheldon_Walker_ "I don’t respect people just because they have a PhD. " That wasn't a claim of authority. That wa… https://t.co/lqZKWIbCM1 Tue Jun 18
  • @jgkoomey Sometimes I think there's not a one of them a day over twelve. Tue Jun 18
  • Not retweeted by the parody Friends of Science. The real one. We are supposed to... argue science with these peopl… https://t.co/ucjK6CuyKP Tue Jun 18
  • RT @PhotoWhatNow: @IceSheetMike Do they figure the climate problems will just fix themselves if they deny hard enough? 🙄 Tue Jun 18
  • RT @IceSheetMike: With such healthy & enjoyable temperaments it's a complete mystery why I bother blocking any climate trolls. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ ht… Tue Jun 18
  • @Sheldon_Walker_ 1) A little bit yeah, but you ain't seen nothin' yet. 2) I. Have. A. Ph.D. In. Climate. Science.… https://t.co/jvOWZqpKkG Tue Jun 18
  • @Sheldon_Walker_ You may have looked at a lot of numbers but you are confused. You seem like a nice enough guy, so… https://t.co/eaZx3IXmi7 Tue Jun 18
  • @Sheldon_Walker_ From that website... "Climate science is probably the only branch of science, that doesn’t look a… https://t.co/pYHzFhP4Ng Tue Jun 18
  • @Sheldon_Walker_ Really? Fascinating. Do go on. #deniersplained again Tue Jun 18
  • But I guess @RichardTol HAS thought about it and comes to different conclusions. I'm afraid I'm here to tell y'al… https://t.co/OkrGfrutAh Tue Jun 18
  • It's probably over 4 C but I don't know a lot of people who have thought about it who expect a world abruptly warme… https://t.co/giOqsV66LL Mon Jun 17
  • It's a bit ghoulish, but it's worth considering at what exact temperature the earth becomes no more inhabitable tha… https://t.co/vKTyvSokHi Mon Jun 17
  • As it happens, by most indications (other than economists with spreadsheets they call "models" pulled out of their,… https://t.co/CDlSoc8G9X Mon Jun 17
  • This means that the damage curve tilts up pretty drastically. QED Mon Jun 17
  • The only thing I'd argue with is "arguably". I'd say this is actually inarguably true. The proof is simple. Add 10… https://t.co/EU5ag2SlwQ Mon Jun 17
  • ! Good to say this explicitly once in a while. https://t.co/b0x4vCtV4n Mon Jun 17
  • RT @GeraldKutney: @AndrewScheer Mr. Scheer will you keep Canada in the Paris Agreement? Oh yea, we will find out on Wednesday. Just bc I am… Mon Jun 17
  • RT @ernietedeschi: So is making the perfect the enemy of the good in the face of evil. https://t.co/hez40U74op Mon Jun 17
  • RT @SpaceLauren: A resident speaking on behalf of his mother who has lost three furnaces and three water heaters in the past three years. S… Mon Jun 17
  • @alienghic Some. Canada is quite an ethnic mix these days, but the old Loyalist stock is just getting used to barel… https://t.co/YUWQV0mO3T Mon Jun 17
  • @ewinsberg @ClimEducator_BG @Cedders68 @theresphysics @ScottAdamsSays That's what Adams meant. But it's not what I meant. Mon Jun 17
  • RT @TexasHumor: "What's on your mind" Me: 🌮 Get the tee: https://t.co/Q02nW83cHs https://t.co/0bcgPR0C8p Mon Jun 17
  • OK @sunradiotx, "missed connection" is a fine tune I guess, but give it a rest already, wouldja? Mon Jun 17
  • RT @lsuzuki: Farmers across America are now turning to the Twitter hashtag #NoPlant19 to lament about the rain and try to pull one another… Mon Jun 17
  • @alienghic Also since I am cooking for Canadians, pretty much all the picante has to be optional in the salsas, whi… https://t.co/dRb3dEP58W Mon Jun 17
  • @alienghic My version is better, though You can buy my cookbook when it's out. Also many ideas in "Taco Cleanse" b… https://t.co/ON4AuzFoDL Mon Jun 17
  • @alienghic Cookbook in progress. Wife & I invite people for taco Tuesday most weeks. The most important recipe is… https://t.co/O9Tp9Nlf6w Mon Jun 17
  • @hausfath @AarneGranlund @mikarantane Ottawa, please. Mon Jun 17
  • RT @evolvesustain: is humanity dying? -- the climate crisis is becoming increasingly apocalyptic. it is unlikely that our civilization will… Mon Jun 17
  • RT @drvox: "For the first time in modern history, the world’s population is expected to virtually stop growing by the end of this century,… Mon Jun 17
  • RT @JohnHolbein1: The phenomenon is this: people only share studies that conform to their political worldview. 2/N Mon Jun 17
  • RT @RedCrossOntario: Extreme #weather events due to climate change are a reality in #Ontario and across #Canada. Are you prepared? Our #fre… Mon Jun 17
  • Instagram, er, whut? @KHayhoe https://t.co/nLOPSzqzhU Mon Jun 17
  • @alienghic @arvindpawan1 Pert near, yep. Mon Jun 17
  • RT @LouisGeorgesLv2: @environnementca @ParcsCanada Découvrez notre nature avant qu'on fracture le territoire pour du tabarnac de pétrole de… Mon Jun 17
  • RT @arnettwill: They’re saying the Toronto Raptors victory parade is going to attract over 1 million Canadians... or 750, 000 US @Raptors… Mon Jun 17
  • RT @Deadhead1968: Toronto needed this. That much is clear. #raptorsParade Mon Jun 17
  • @arvindpawan1 Economists make very little reference to data. They discuss mostly their own (untested) idealizations… https://t.co/vHe5mhNKHG Mon Jun 17
  • @ClimEducator_BG @Cedders68 @theresphysics @ScottAdamsSays As evidence that it isn't easy to build an acceptable cl… https://t.co/PqI5ptwPyf Mon Jun 17
  • @ClimEducator_BG @Cedders68 @theresphysics @ScottAdamsSays And passing that test is enormously difficult and a real… https://t.co/7pTEPL7ZQ3 Mon Jun 17
  • @ClimEducator_BG @Cedders68 @theresphysics @ScottAdamsSays Of course this frame is tendentious, but it isn't totall… https://t.co/yJmytTP0nK Mon Jun 17
  • RT @Cedders68: @theresphysics Yes, we have good reasons to think disparaging bio/geophysical models while not questioning economic ones is… Mon Jun 17
  • @ClimEducator_BG @Cedders68 @theresphysics @ScottAdamsSays is more a loose cannon Dunning-Kruger syndrome case than… https://t.co/1rJIG9uaTD Mon Jun 17
  • @CelloMomOnCars Exactly. An excellent summary. Mon Jun 17
  • @CelloMomOnCars This is still wrong, I think. I probably should try to do a better job of explaining why I think so… https://t.co/5C8Vpnx1hJ Mon Jun 17
  • Monbiot https://t.co/C52lgeOgKk Mon Jun 17
  • RT @Rainmaker1973: «Tell Schrödinger I survived» https://t.co/PT7n0OlpeB #MotivationMonday https://t.co/hZidzSlZGL Mon Jun 17
  • RT @planet3org: Nice site, and great name, @planetizen. But doesn't actually go to the fact that we actually need a concept of planetary c… Mon Jun 17
  • Disagree with emphasis that "The case for pushing control of health, education, transport and all the rest down to… https://t.co/qdHyK32urn Mon Jun 17
  • @JustinHGillis @cfarndt @TenneyNaumer @jgkoomey @kmac @daveregrets @AlexSteffen @dwallacewells @emahlee @KelseyTuoc… https://t.co/sngkzDl3cd Mon Jun 17
  • https://t.co/l2Putlh8NU Mon Jun 17
  • RT @BrentToderian: If your city couldn’t avoid making a huge city-damaging mistake, do the next best thing – remove the mistake, & repair y… Mon Jun 17
  • RT @sauceruney: @jzellis I drove across I-70 through Ohio, Indiana, and Illinois today. Mostly farmland. More than 1/3 of it flooded or hav… Mon Jun 17
  • @ElGuapoDeYOW @AARock1 @cathmckenna Um. Guys. For whatever it's worth, Miami Beach has been trucking in sand for de… https://t.co/KRxOwaocaq Mon Jun 17
  • @BadAstronomer @ZachWeiner On reading this, I asked myself "Should I yell 'Hurrah!'?". Sun Jun 16
  • RT @smakelainen: I can see this will follow a familiar pattern: 1) Some people raise raise a serious concern 2) Experts become alarmed 3)… Sun Jun 16
  • RT @AlexSteffen: The most absolutely transformative move American philanthropy can make on the climate crisis? Fund 1,000 smart, experienc… Sun Jun 16
  • RT @eatinginmycar: no bitch i'm a millennial, my retirement plan is ecological collapse https://t.co/l7bv8X32VD Sun Jun 16
  • @AarneGranlund Hope so. It's early days. Good intentions don't pan out under commercial pressures. Remember BP's ea… https://t.co/eqPPo58mke Sun Jun 16
  • Near term SF scenario - a small country party to the WTO but not party to the Paris Agreement licenses factory ship… https://t.co/hEIvhjA4kI Sun Jun 16
  • RT @rpancost: @CleoDanceBaton Examples: hydroelectric power in Brasil that displaces indigenous communities. Copper & cobalt for our electr… Sun Jun 16
  • RT @rpancost: @CleoDanceBaton Green colonialism is one of my great concerns with radical climate action that does not centre local and glob… Sun Jun 16
  • @AarneGranlund I'm certainly gathering from some of our previous conversations that the shipping industry is not ta… https://t.co/UwhphClG28 Sun Jun 16
  • @AarneGranlund Perhaps international aviation emissions are treated as extraterritorial so even the limited pressur… https://t.co/amjLEplehp Sun Jun 16
  • I think intent is a bit too strong. The power of rationalizing is immense. Ideas convenient for the oligarchy som… https://t.co/ZKKWuEUWuz Sun Jun 16
  • RT @PaulRoundy1: Science cannot function effectively unless we cite studies that suggest different conclusions than our own. Sun Jun 16
  • RT @PaulRoundy1: Nearly all of us, myself included, place way too much confidence in the extent to which our political views conform to rea… Sun Jun 16
  • @ewinsberg @sophiaphotos @CanadianTire It's sadly true. Canadians didn't like Yankees any more than Confederates di… https://t.co/8jYZpU0ghz Sun Jun 16
  • RT @pwang: The unapologetic horror of the modern web client-server app development stack has somehow rendered the technology community utte… Sun Jun 16
  • RT @sophiaphotos: What’s up with @CanadianTire selling confederate flag stuff? https://t.co/7vBACorE3y Sun Jun 16
  • RT @newsycombinator: Word processors are ditching equation editors in favour of LaTeX https://t.co/kL2bjjsDu3 Sun Jun 16
  • https://t.co/DfhB4i8RCe Sun Jun 16
  • @Mark_A_Lunn With new rules, I hope. The existing rules make sense only if there is ample demand for labour. When… https://t.co/YKsa0LPlR3 Sun Jun 16
  • @Mark_A_Lunn Right, many people see it that way, but I don't. I tend to think they are inextricably one and the sam… https://t.co/m4glig7itr Sun Jun 16
  • RT @EC_Kosters: @SheaTheresa @pmagn Hear hear. Just don’t distract from what’s really important @CPC_HQ: fear mongering abt “rising crime r… Sun Jun 16
  • @Mark_A_Lunn I guess so. Not my point though. My point is that maybe unregulated capitalism is meaningless. Maybe… https://t.co/HpXDLFFwdF Sun Jun 16
  • @Mark_A_Lunn I am starting to think this "unfettered economy" thing is not even a realistic idea. It cannot exist in a complex civilization. Sun Jun 16
  • My answer to "Is the Arctic thawing faster than even our worse climate change predictions?" https://t.co/W0Habxuy1x Sat Jun 15
  • RT @newsycombinator: Facebook says social media users can't expect privacy https://t.co/0clbrAimwi Sat Jun 15
  • RT @AlexSteffen: @dwallacewells @JustinHGillis @jswatz @kmac @jgkoomey @daveregrets @emahlee @KelseyTuoc I think it's critical never to for… Sat Jun 15
  • "Compassion, in which all ethics must take root, can only attain its full breadth and depth if it embraces all livi… https://t.co/D6Uq2HJ9bT Sat Jun 15
  • RT @JustinHGillis: @kmac @jgkoomey @daveregrets @AlexSteffen @dwallacewells @emahlee @KelseyTuoc Didn't say "calm." I said "a bit calmer."… Sat Jun 15
  • RT @Tweet_Dec: No but tell us how you really feel The Guardian 🤣 https://t.co/nNKiLEXk9i Sat Jun 15
  • RT @BrentToderian: Car dependency is the opposite of freedom. https://t.co/IN6no8dNI5 Sat Jun 15
  • @BrentToderian Also elevated bikepaths are ridiculously expensive and we can't afford them. Sat Jun 15
  • RT @Naiima_Farah: “The only test of our character that matters is how we look after the least fortunate among us.” -Tommy Douglas https://t… Sat Jun 15
  • @jgkoomey In my opinion, economics is more akin to engineering than to science, but economists don't seem to think… https://t.co/fCYmVbKAFm Sat Jun 15
  • RT @jgkoomey: @mtobis We need to be mindful that our analysis of the conditional is useful for assessing directions and approximate magnitu… Sat Jun 15
  • Is accurate forecasting of economic systems even useful, in the light of your question about agency? As my friend… https://t.co/eAlx3usyCZ Sat Jun 15
  • RT @jgkoomey: @AlexSteffen @dwallacewells @emahlee @KelseyTuoc It is IMPOSSIBLE to calculate accurate probabilities of climate futures. Hum… Sat Jun 15
  • RT @jgkoomey: @JustinHGillis @daveregrets @kmac @AlexSteffen @dwallacewells @emahlee @KelseyTuoc No one should ever just say “4C is likely”… Sat Jun 15
  • RT @TheOnion: Maze With Cheese In Center Enters Human Trials Following Decades Of Testing On Mice https://t.co/8DmMXWE4dW https://t.co/2P9R… Sat Jun 15
  • List? I should have a list? This is not a bad idea. Tradition would indicate it needs 95 points. I'll start wit… https://t.co/QGWHEXF5Hn Sat Jun 15
  • RT @daniel_kraft: Your brain on #GPS : When people are told which way to turn, it relieves them of the need to create their own routes & re… Sat Jun 15
  • @zumayabooks @MoiraJMoore @everywhereist Time for a Canadian Thomas Frank, I'm afraid Sat Jun 15
  • A revenue neutral cash grab... 🙄 Come on, Canadian journalists, call this out! THIS IS UNAMBIGUOUSLY FALSE. https://t.co/8dYGv87Nv8 Sat Jun 15
  • @Sou_HotWhopper @MaryHeglar No question that all else equal, we'd still be making a mess of things, but we'd have more time to make changes. Sat Jun 15
  • @jamesannan @AndrewDessler @richardabetts In fact I made exactly that case on my application for admission to PhD r… https://t.co/JPYPP2ZVHz Sat Jun 15
  • @Sou_HotWhopper @MaryHeglar If you don't get too far into the scientific details, it's not hard to imagine a world… https://t.co/Z2oOO8nulT Sat Jun 15
  • @jamesannan @AndrewDessler @richardabetts Sans climate crisis I can make a case that climatology is the ideal spher… https://t.co/XeqOOrLB8l Sat Jun 15
  • @jamesannan @AndrewDessler @richardabetts Well, better funded in the sense of the core research being more consiste… https://t.co/AJo7fJ1HnR Sat Jun 15
  • @AndrewDessler @richardabetts But for me I might have stayed closer to my own interests, in both the sense of fasci… https://t.co/U334Hw8GLm Sat Jun 15
  • @AndrewDessler @richardabetts Even if climate change weren't a problem, climate would be worthy of study. Indeed it… https://t.co/JLsIm6lwXz Sat Jun 15
  • RT @MaryHeglar: Hey #ClimateTwitter, let’s play a game. If climate change wasn’t a problem, what would you be working on? I’ll go first:… Sat Jun 15
  • @zumayabooks @MoiraJMoore @everywhereist There's a good book about it, called "What's the Matter with Kansas?" Sat Jun 15
  • @MaryHeglar Computer scientist or data communications engineer. Sat Jun 15
  • (I guess the deficit fallacy isn't entirely nonexistent!) I'm not the one being misled here. It's those with less… https://t.co/GyfQwh69mo Sat Jun 15
  • RT @theresphysics: Lisa Raitt explains that tweet about climate change https://t.co/X7L9gtmRNN via @NatObserver Sat Jun 15
  • RT @historylvrsclub: The Statue of Liberty in Paris 1886, before it was disassembled and crated for its voyage to New York. https://t.co/tt… Sat Jun 15
  • @SchemppShawn @NBeesax Yes, that article is quite hilarious. Keep 'em coming, Alberta. Sat Jun 15
  • @MoiraJMoore @everywhereist Yes. Just in general, Canadians who haven't lived in the States have no idea how good they have it. Fri Jun 14
  • RT @MoiraJMoore: @everywhereist This is a dispute I have with fellow Canadians who resent having to pay taxes for the health care system, e… Fri Jun 14
  • @nathan_k @gregorytcarlock https://t.co/r2Cid3vw3k Fri Jun 14
  • "Let's tread on somebody else instead" Fri Jun 14
  • Indeed, I'd expect that even granting large scale carbon sequestration would still leave tar sands as a particularly dirty approach. Fri Jun 14
  • If Canada can produce net zero emission fossil fuel or even net-near-zero, I think we should support it. But it's p… https://t.co/7q8LqF58lL Fri Jun 14
  • RT @IdiotTracker: @mtobis My favorite statement of this idea is from Milton's Areopagitica: https://t.co/4Gpet1zXOX Fri Jun 14
  • I've been hard on the CBC lately, but this is good journalism. Bad news, but good journalism. https://t.co/av3nWIpFca Fri Jun 14
  • RT @JimHandman: B.C. drought fears surge as rivers dry up across the province | CBC News https://t.co/4PpWK4gj5o Fri Jun 14
  • RT @LukeRunyon: Look what showed up at my desk, @jfleck and @R_EricKuhn https://t.co/2WQzV7DcjV Fri Jun 14
  • @gregorytcarlock True enough. So say that. Fri Jun 14
  • @gregorytcarlock @enjoyingthewind @NSIDC You succeeded in that, at the cost of scaring people even more than they s… https://t.co/SSK0fFN7Nd Fri Jun 14
  • @gregorytcarlock @enjoyingthewind No. Of course Greenland melting is a big deal. My argument is that showing the s… https://t.co/7PPHqE5pAe Fri Jun 14
  • @IceSheetMike @mattjohenry @EricHolthaus @PolarPortal I guess you can have surface melt and mass gain if there's precipitation...? Fri Jun 14
  • Like this @nsidc https://t.co/FyQK0Rnc7Q Fri Jun 14
  • @enjoyingthewind @gregorytcarlock Yes. Greenland melt is indeed accelerating, which is indeed a very bad thing. B… https://t.co/xf53HfxHHA Fri Jun 14
  • @enjoyingthewind @gregorytcarlock This sort of graph is better, as it shows not only the climatological normal rang… https://t.co/TefATrRXeL Fri Jun 14
  • @enjoyingthewind @gregorytcarlock agreed Fri Jun 14
  • @gregorytcarlock Sigh. Er, actually that is mass gain through the winter. Fri Jun 14
  • @gregorytcarlock Here I use exactly the same tool to make it look rather mundane: https://t.co/Gv9b416jt8 Fri Jun 14
  • @enjoyingthewind @gregorytcarlock Right well the default view (showing the most severe melt year to date) presents… https://t.co/KQrEvRbrza Fri Jun 14
  • h/t @nevaudit https://t.co/dNYKuhrnFj Fri Jun 14
  • @gregorytcarlock You didn't link to a site. Feel free to do that. You showed a graph which implies uniqueness of a… https://t.co/hBJbZd13vi Fri Jun 14
  • @gregorytcarlock It implies the present event is unique. That is misleading. Fri Jun 14
  • RT @RARohde: @EricHolthaus A bit of perspective might be useful here. The 2019 melt extent sets a new daily record for mid-June, but it i… Fri Jun 14
  • If you "win" by exposing the exaggerations of the opponent it is a pyrrhic triumph if you have injected exaggeratio… https://t.co/uRFDBrJXeT Fri Jun 14
  • Debate is not a sport. The purpose of scientific debate is to arrive at the truth. The purpose of political debate… https://t.co/LGxgB7GOLv Fri Jun 14
  • No wonder people are confused. We seem to have forgotten what the purpose of debate is in the first place. (The fo… https://t.co/PZJMDxVNB9 Fri Jun 14
  • This is lawyers' science. I muster my facts, you muster yours, then we duke it out. We should be duking it out on… https://t.co/L4ftH4pYd9 Fri Jun 14
  • Is it the correct role of people who want climate action to present information in the most terrifying way possible… https://t.co/LVWdcn0Y6i Fri Jun 14
  • This thread clarifies https://t.co/sZfzOpG6kL Fri Jun 14
  • This is apparently true (very warm in Greenland at this moment) but also misleading. The chart doesn't show that co… https://t.co/1idxclQSZ1 Fri Jun 14
  • RT @MeanwhileinCana: Last night's Toronto @Raptors NBA championship win showed unbreakable national unity across Canada! Fans poured onto… Fri Jun 14
  • RT @ericsteig: How do you hug a climate scientist? Follow these simple rules and don't make it weird | First Dog on the Moon https://t.co/k… Fri Jun 14
  • RT @Brendan_Frank: The final piece of my series on Chinese climate policy looks at what Canada and other Western countries can do to get Ch… Fri Jun 14
  • RT @ClimateFdbk: Financial Post commentary by Ross McKitrick jumps to unsupported conclusions in claiming “climate change isn’t causing ext… Fri Jun 14
  • RT @highcountrynews: If sagebrush decline continues, the approximately 350 species that depend on it are in serious trouble, and the impact… Thu Jun 13
  • RT @JenStDen: Western red cedars are dying of drought in Vancouver and scientists say it’s one more portent of climate change, by @TessaVik… Thu Jun 13
  • Have a draft of an article refuting McKitrick in the FP. 1400 words. Any reviewers out there? Could use a couple. Please DM with your email. Thu Jun 13
  • @AndrewDessler @past_is_future @theresphysics @MichaelEMann It is perhaps crazy for me to go against more accomplis… https://t.co/uBauAHwTdD Thu Jun 13
  • @AndrewDessler @past_is_future @theresphysics @MichaelEMann I don't claim that. Everything happens in a changed cl… https://t.co/vz3gg2HoZ0 Thu Jun 13
  • @past_is_future @theresphysics @AndrewDessler @MichaelEMann That's true, but I venture that's not what the general public thinks they hear. Thu Jun 13
  • @past_is_future @theresphysics @AndrewDessler @MichaelEMann The point is that the storm was mostly a memorable one… https://t.co/GrJwqjxquc Thu Jun 13
  • @past_is_future @theresphysics @AndrewDessler @MichaelEMann Looked it over. But boy did I follow that storm when it was happening. Thu Jun 13
  • @jamesannan @nevaudit @RogerPielkeJr @theresphysics @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg I don't know how to calculate thes… https://t.co/Iv26jmiCFl Thu Jun 13
  • @past_is_future @theresphysics I guess this puts me against Trenberth and @AndrewDessler and @MichaelEMann , which… https://t.co/kk5AdEL2LE Thu Jun 13
  • @past_is_future @theresphysics I never thought hurricane Harvey was a good candidate for a global warming storm, ev… https://t.co/9DYsAzI81e Thu Jun 13
  • @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg lol (ruefully but actually). Yes. All too true. Thu Jun 13
  • @EthonRaptor @Roger_Pielke_Jr @curryja I don't really expect much. I just try to leave room for Roger to behave rea… https://t.co/7f61Pc19qp Thu Jun 13
  • Just figure out which is meant from context, please? Thu Jun 13
  • The climate may be defined as the statistical properties of a system. But that system is called "the climate system… https://t.co/LphtkhEb0f Thu Jun 13
  • But it seems to me a reasonably charitable reading would have parsed what I meant even in that case, a case which I… https://t.co/FqKo9Dwwzp Thu Jun 13
  • Now in fact I didn't say those words. I just said "let's think about severe events". But of course I meant thinkin… https://t.co/fQGsJeN6Jg Thu Jun 13
  • In thinking about individual events in a changed climate, we are considering whether the altered environment made t… https://t.co/omN6AJV6ql Thu Jun 13
  • If we define, as we often do "climate" as "the statistical properties of weather", then "climate change" cannot "ca… https://t.co/qQoPKdPAsL Thu Jun 13
  • @BVerheggen https://t.co/ekwiq9uDdG Thu Jun 13
  • This is more of a semantic quibble than a substantive one, but it is one that I think is worth noting. https://t.co/wRnqYCjKPM Thu Jun 13
  • @Anonomouse1981 Thanks! Twitter seems to be breaking the thread. See the 18 points unrolled here: https://t.co/bFyi7Vkp3x Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg Unrolled at https://t.co/bFyi7V2ObZ Thu Jun 13
  • RT @carboncoach: If you currently spend more than about 12-18 hours a year in a plane, I've some awkward news for you. Your flying habit is… Thu Jun 13
  • @RogerPielkeJr @theresphysics @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg Yeah, okay. One can observe things empirically. But it i… https://t.co/I4Ek7gILZH Thu Jun 13
  • @nevaudit @RogerPielkeJr @theresphysics @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg That contradicts my casual claim above that th… https://t.co/Kv2hwha34v Thu Jun 13
  • @nevaudit @RogerPielkeJr @theresphysics @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg But I'm fascinated with "mention the potentia… https://t.co/JYcmsRESbJ Thu Jun 13
  • @nevaudit @RogerPielkeJr @theresphysics @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg I think I was covering the same ground as that… https://t.co/cEtfleFEjw Thu Jun 13
  • @RogerPielkeJr @theresphysics @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg What's false? My prediction that this dance will go on f… https://t.co/IibuLNMtus Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 18) I wish we could find better ways to talk about this, though. /fin Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 17) Which brings us to the generalization "climate chang… https://t.co/A4I98salFz Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 16) I suggest that neither position is ever really 100%… https://t.co/zZ06uPr3I7 Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 15) I predict that every time there is a severe event, f… https://t.co/VjH5ASnUWX Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 14) Are extreme events over-represented and over-interpr… https://t.co/f0VXZcWwzT Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 13) In some cases, the conclusions are obvious. Consider… https://t.co/93sU3qASzF Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 12) But we have other evidence besides observation. We h… https://t.co/eRYLR04oQS Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 11) Nevertheless we are changing the radiative propertie… https://t.co/3y3AnBvoj0 Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 10) If you reject models and you reject physical reasoni… https://t.co/F7OKHpUZc2 Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 9) Climatology is not mere empiricism. In fact, mere emp… https://t.co/GU03UHs1Ie Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 8) The more rare an event, the less statistics can infor… https://t.co/qluBDN4Q7r Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 7) I'd point out that there is no guarantee that consequ… https://t.co/irgvzDBtIf Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 6) In general, we have to tolerate the unfortunate fact… https://t.co/48MwCykgMk Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 5) On the other hand, this sort of clarity is not genera… https://t.co/wY7yfiUUcc Thu Jun 13
  • @RogerPielkeJr @theresphysics @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg See my following tweet. Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 4) For instance, suppose one considers the case of a lar… https://t.co/upnyKVsYus Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 3) Since the statistical approach is very conservative,… https://t.co/2RMpILv2VH Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 2) There is often no obvious Bayesian alternative formul… https://t.co/eaqJCKNCVR Thu Jun 13
  • @theresphysics @RogerPielkeJr @rgatess @curryja @ewinsberg 1) The statistical approach to severe events is fundamen… https://t.co/WHCXd1BPgz Thu Jun 13

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